Match Info
BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 6Date: 19 March 2025, WednesdayLocation: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Confiança |
|
Sampaio Corrêa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.5 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.45 |
5 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.48 |
5.22 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.3 |
5 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.36 |
5.28 |
 Watch |
 |
1.64 |
3.45 |
5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.13) |
3.42 ↑
(3.1) |
5.08 ↑
(3.27) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Confiança
55.4% | Draw
26.7% | Sampaio Corrêa
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Confiança's performance.Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions
Users Predictions:
Confiança will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Rafael Mariano (G)
6. Airton
11.  Camilo B.
4. Eduardo Moura
5. Fabio Silva (C)
10. Luiz Otavio
3. Maicon
8. Mossoro
9. Neto Oliveira
7. Rodriguinho
2. Valdir Junior
| 1. Victor Hugo (G)
7. Adriano
9. Alan James
10. Alan Stence
8. Balao
4. Fabio Aguiar (C)
13. Guilherme
5. Hudson
6. Lincoln L.
14. Ray
19. Thiaguinho
|
| Substitutes |
14. Adryan
16. Alan Cardoso
12. Felipe Scheibig (G)
21.  Geovane
20. Matheus Blade
30. Murillo Lopes (G)
19. Rafinha
13. Renilson
18. Thiago Santos
17. Vithinho
15. Weriton
22. Will
| 12. Carlos Eduardo (G)
23. Henrique
16. Isaias
20. Jair
18. Nadson
11. Rodolfo
3. Wesley
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Neto Oliveira ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Camilo B. ⚽,
- 29', Lincoln L. ↓, Isaias ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Alan Stence ↓, Nadson ↑,
- 49', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 57', Valdir Junior ↓, Weriton ↑,
- 57', Mossoro ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 58', Rodriguinho ↓, Vithinho ↑,
- 58', Adriano ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 65', Henrique 🟨,
- 76', Balao ↓, Jair ↑,
- 76', Alan James ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
- 80', Camilo B. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 84', Neto Oliveira ↓, Will ↑,
- 85', Nadson 🟨,
- 88', Henrique 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 8).Last 5 head-to-head matches Confiança won 2. Recent matches Confiança is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Sampaio Corrêa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Confiança have a series of guest games. In this match Confiança is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Confiança won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.1:1.4). Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie C | | | 24.08.24 | Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança | 1:0 | | Brazilian Serie B | | | 17.09.21 | Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa | 2:0 | | 19.06.21 | Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança | 3:1 | | 19.01.21 | Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:1 | | 21.10.20 | Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança | 1:3 | | Brazilian Serie C | | | 21.09.19 | Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança | 1:0 | | 14.09.19 | Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:2 |
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