Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 11

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vitória Salvador		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.37
	2.98	2.98	2.52	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.61
	3.06	3.07	2.53	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.5
	3.25	3.08	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.78)	3.05 ↓ (3.19)	2.51 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
31%

Draw
31.1%

São Paulo
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Vitória Salvador - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Vitória (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). São Paulo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 44. Baralhas (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 33. Erick 6. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Matheuzinho 79. Renato Kayzer	23. Rafael (C) 19. Lucas Ramon 2. Toloi R. 28. Franco A. 13. Diaz E. 8. Marcos Antonio 94. Danielzinho 37. Artur 80. Cauly 11. Ferreira 17. Andre Silva
Substitutes
28. Anderson 17. Cantalapiedra A. 22. Gabriel (G) 18. Kauan Vitor 31. Lopez R. 20. Lucas Silva 11. Osvaldo 91. Rene 5. Riccieli 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor	56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 34. dos Santos P. 30. Felipe Negrucci 33. Luan Silva 45. Lucca Marques 54. Luis Osorio 4. Matheus Doria 46. Pedro Ferreira 21. Soares C. 14. Tapia G. 18. Wendell
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Caca ⚽, Nathan Mendes (A),
37', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Lucas Ramon 🟥,
57', Cauly ↓, Soares C. ↑,
57', Ferreira ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
66', Andre Silva ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
66', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
66', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
71', Renato Kayzer ↓, Rene ↑,
71', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
75', Tarzia D. 🟨,
76', dos Santos P. 🟨,
78', Danielzinho ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Ramon ⚽, Baralhas (A),
87', Baralhas 🟨,
88', Baralhas ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
89', Toloi R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

São Paulo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga (Broken Leg) Claudinho (Muscle Injury) Dudu (Back Injury) Edenilson (Red Card) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jamerson (Inactive) Lopez R. (Thigh Injury) Marinho (Hamstring Injury) Matheusinho (Injury) Pedro H. (Hand Injury) Ramon (Yellow Cards) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Riccieli (Calf Injury)

There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (Contusion) Lucas Moura (Broken rib) Luciano (Overload) Paulinho (Inactive) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Fintelman (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucca Marques (Ribs Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL
- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Boston River - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:0
09.08.25	São Paulo - Vitória Salvador	2:0
25.08.24	São Paulo - Vitória Salvador	2:1
05.05.24	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:3
26.10.18	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	0:1
12.06.18	São Paulo - Vitória Salvador	3:0
17.09.17	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:2

Vitória Salvador - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide