The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 36.3%
Draw 31.6%
Corinthians 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
31%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
30.7%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
Vitória Salvador - Corinthians Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 29% – 96%.
1. Hugo Souza (G) 20. Milans P. 13. Gustavo Henrique 3. Gabriel Paulista 21. Matheus Bidu 19. Carrillo A. 14. Raniele 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 31. Kayke 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 22. Gabriel (G) 18. Kauan 31. Lopez R. 20. Lucas Silva 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 91. Rene 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor
29. Allan 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 61. Dieguinho 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Jair Ventura
Diniz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Renato Kayzer ↓, Rene ↑,
45+5', Garro R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Breno Bidon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
64', Raniele ↓, Allan ↑,
64', Milans P. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
76', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
76', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
77', Kayke ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
77', Garro R. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
88', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
90', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
90', Erick ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
90+1', Baralhas ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
Vitória is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Corinthians has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jamerson
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheusinho
(Injury)
Pedro H.
(Hand Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Red Card)
Angileri F.
(Inactive)
Charles Rigon
(Inactive)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gui Negao
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Inactive)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Matheuzinho
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Vitória: Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Kaio Cesar
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
Brazil
Ecuador
United-arab-emirates
Usa
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Lucas Arcanjo (G) 
Emmanuel Martinez 
Milans P. 
Carrillo A. 
Cantalapiedra A. 
Labyad Z. 
Lingard J. 
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