Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Conil		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.68	2.62
	2.87	2.8	2.64
	2.86	2.82	2.62
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.78	2.76	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.32)	2.74 ↓ (3)	2.61 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
32.2%

Draw
33.1%

Atlético Central
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conil's form might have worsened.

Atlético Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Conil - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Central has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Conil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Conil won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Conil	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.02.26	Utrera - Conil	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Conil - Dos Hermanas	1:3 ✺
11.02.26	Cadiz CF B - Conil	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Bollullos - Conil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWWT
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
25.02.26	Dos Hermanas - Atlético Central	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Tomares - Atlético Central	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Central - Utrera	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Central - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.10.25	Atlético Central - Conil	2:0
05.04.25	Conil - Atlético Central	0:1
23.11.24	Atlético Central - Conil	0:1

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