The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coria 42.7%
Draw 31.6%
Conquense 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
29.8%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
31.5%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.
Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Conquense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Coria - Conquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Leon I. (Own goal),
34', 0 - 2, Herbert A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, Perez A. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Recent performances by Coria have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Conquense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Conquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Coria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.