Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.62	3.55	5.9
	1.58	3.58	5.67	Watch
	1.59	3.45	5.53
	1.58	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	5.6 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
58%

Draw
25.7%

Rayo Vallecano B
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Conquense - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Conquense (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Conquense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
81', de las Sias M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Conquense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rayo Vallecano B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Conquense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Conquense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.02.26	Fuenlabrada - Conquense	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Conquense - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.02.26	Coria - Rayo Vallecano B	3:2 ✺
28.01.26	Tenerife B - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.04.15	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	2:1
23.11.14	Conquense - Rayo Vallecano B	3:5

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