Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Conquense		Unión Sur Yaiza

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.86	3.17	4.25
	1.84	3.23	4.26	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.9	3.13	4.23
	1.85	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	4.08 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
48.9%

Draw
28.9%

Unión Sur Yaiza
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

21.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Sur Yaiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conquense - Unión Sur Yaiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Monterde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Monterde J. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Carcaba J. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
90+3', Mendoza P. 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent matches Conquense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Sur Yaiza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Conquense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Conquense - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Conquense - Real Sociedad	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Conquense	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Conquense - Cacereño	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLTL
- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Tenerife B - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Real Madrid C - Unión Sur Yaiza	4:1 ✺
24.11.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Sur Yaiza	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLLL

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