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Current Win Probability
Constancia 67.6%
Draw 20.1%
Collerense 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
18.8%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.6%
18.2%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Constancia - Collerense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2.
Constancia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Collerense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Collerense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Constancia is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Constancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
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