Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Constancia		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.6
	2.02	3.05	3.83
	2.01	3.11	3.74	Watch
	2	2.88	3.75
	1.99	2.99	3.79
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 (2)	3.01 ↓ (3.31)	3.74 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
45.5%

Draw
30.2%

Platges de Calvià
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Constancia - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 0.

Constancia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Platges de Calvià has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Constancia could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Constancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Constancia	5	3	1	1	9:3	6	10
6	Platges de Calvia	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
25.01.26	Constancia - Formentera	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Portmany - Constancia	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Inter Ibiza - Constancia	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Constancia - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Constancia - Llosetense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
25.01.26	Inter Ibiza - Platges de Calvià	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Platges de Calvià - Llosetense	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Platges de Calvià - Cardassar	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
27.09.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	3:2
28.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:1
18.10.24	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	2:2
10.02.24	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	0:2
24.09.23	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:0
11.03.23	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	2:0
06.11.22	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:1

Constancia - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide