Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 28

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Druids

	1	X	2
	2.89	3.47	1.98
	3.04	3.82	2.02
	2.95	3.65	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	2 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
30.4%

Draw
24.7%

Druids
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Holyhead Hotspur have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Druids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druids than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Holyhead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Druids is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holyhead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Druids will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Holyhead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
18.03.23	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	0:4 ✺
18.02.23	Llanidloes Town - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.03.23	Druids - Porthmadog	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Holywell Town - Druids	4:0 ✺
17.02.23	Druids - Conwy Borough	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Druids	4:1 ✺
07.02.23	Druids - Guilsfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
13.08.22	Druids - Holyhead Hotspur	2:0

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