Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Copenhagen		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5.75
	1.6	3.7	6	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6.4
	1.57	3.8	6.64
	1.53	3.5	6	Watch
	1.6	3.92	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.38)	3.73 ↓ (4.61)	6.13 ↓ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
59.5%

Draw
25.1%

Piast Gliwice
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.3%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

10.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Copenhagen's form might have worsened.

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Piast Gliwice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.6%	7.7%	27.7%

Copenhagen - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 42 - 64.6%). Piast will win (votes: 18 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 53% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Copenhagen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Piast is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Copenhagen have a series of guest games.

Recently Piast have a series of home games.

In this match Copenhagen is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
20.09.20	Copenhagen - Brøndby	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	IFK Göteborg - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.20	OB Odense - Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.20	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	2:2
UEFA Europa League
10.08.20	Manchester United - Copenhagen	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.20	Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Piast Gliwice - Hartberg	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.20	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Piast Gliwice - Karviná	0:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.08.20	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTL

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