The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 37.4%
Draw 29.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.7%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
29.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piast Gliwice's performance.
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piast Gliwice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
7.1%
71.4%
Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Jagiellonia (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Jagiellonia (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Piast (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 29. Drapinski I. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 10. Dziczek P. 77. Jirka E. 6. Chrapek M. 17. Boisgard Q. 11. Sanca L. 7. Felix J.
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 3. Stojinovic D. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 11. Imaz J. 8. Drachal D. 7. Pozo A. 10. Pululu A. 80. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
63. Barkovskiy G. 9. Dalmau A. 5. Juande 31. Lesniak O. 36. Lewicki J. 98. Lokilo J. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 33. Szymanski K. (G) 80. Vallejo H.
19. Cantero A. 31. Flach L. 25. Jackson A. 72. Jozwiak K. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 86. Mazurek B. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 5. Polak C. 18. Prip L. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Molder M.
Siemieniec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Drapinski I. 🟨,
24', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
35', Drachal D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Boisgard Q. 🟨,
55', Jirka E. 🟨,
60', Drachal D. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
60', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
66', Chrapek M. ↓, Juande ↑,
66', Felix J. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
67', Sanca L. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
71', Pozo A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
71', Pululu A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
77', Jirka E. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
80', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
80', Dalmau A. 🟨,
82', Drapinski I. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
84', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
88', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Juande ⚽, Dziczek P. (A),
90+5', Twumasi E. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.
In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jagiellonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Finland
North-macedonia
Poland
Serbia
Usa
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Plach F. (G) 
Twumasi E. 
Czerwinski J. (C) 
Boisgard Q. 
Sanca L. 
Felix J. 
Stojinovic D. 
Pululu A. 
Barkovskiy G. 
Lokilo J. 
Flach L. 
Jackson A. 
Kobayashi Y. 
Prip L. 
Rallis D. 
Sylla Y. 
Molder M. 
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