Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 13

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Warta Poznań		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.88	2.1	Watch
	3.75	2.9	2.15
	3.75	2.95	2.15	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.12
	4.06	2.96	2.23
	3.7	2.9	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.02	2.14	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.87)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.14 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
24.7%

Draw
31.6%

Piast Gliwice
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

30.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Piast will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 2. Bartkowski J. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 6. Zurawski M. 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 9. Eppel M. 16. Luis M.	26. Plach F. (G) 77. Pyrka A. 2. Mosor A. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 98. Katranis A. 11. Kadzior D. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 6. Chrapek M. 16. Dziczek P. 19. Ameyaw M. 7. Felix J.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 97. Kaminski W. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 47. Prikryl T. 77. Savic S. 29. Vizinger D.	14. Holubek J. 5. Huk T. 17. Karbowy F. 27. Kirejczyk G. 44. Krykun S. 3. Miguelito 22. Mokwa T. 30. Szczepanski M. 33. Szymanski K. (G)
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Vukovic A.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 3.

Recent matches Warta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Piast is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Warta have a series of guest games.

Piast will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Warta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.10.23	Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Korona Kielce - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.10.23	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.10.23	GKS Katowice - Piast Gliwice	2:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.10.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Piast Gliwice	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.05.23	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:1
05.11.22	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:2
29.04.22	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	2:3
06.11.21	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:1
22.02.21	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:1
12.09.20	Warta Poznań - Piast Gliwice	0:0

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