Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:45	Footballclub


	Coria		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.77	3.2	4.1
	1.78	3.15	4.35
	1.77	3.47	4.26
	1.77	3.48	4.26	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.62	3.04	6.53
	1.76	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	4.56 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
51.9%

Draw
28%

Alcalá
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Coria - Alcalá Predictions

Users Predictions: Coria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coria will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Viana E. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Mba D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Coria is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Elche Ilicitano - Coria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Coria - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Socuéllamos - Coria	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Coria - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	Coria - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Navalcarnero - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Orihuela - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLT

Coria - Alcalá