Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.52	2.98	2.62
	2.69	2.99	2.74
	2.63	3.12	2.58	Watch
	2.55	2.88	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	2.63 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
35.3%

Draw
30%

Alcalá
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Elche Ilicitano aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ilicitano (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilicitano (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Javi H. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Javi H. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Boayar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 1 - 3, Javi H. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Piriti A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 3, Boayar A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Ilicitano has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alcalá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilicitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alcalá - Intercity	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Socuéllamos - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLW

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