Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.02	3.1	3.35
	2.31	3.05	3.24
	1.97	3.32	3.52	Watch
	2.09	3.22	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.93)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	3.33 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
43.5%

Draw
29%

Fuenlabrada
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Coria - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 0, Mba D. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Coria has had a series of away games.

Coria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Coria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Coria - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 46.86%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Coria	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Coria	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Conquense - Coria	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Deportivo Toledo - Coria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano B	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Getafe B - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Coria - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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