Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Coria		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.95	3.1	4
	2	3.2	3.35
	1.97	3.05	3.88
	1.97	3.34	3.5
	2.02	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.67 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
46.8%

Draw
28.4%

Montijo
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

28.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

27.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montijo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montijo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Coria - Montijo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Montijo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Coria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Montijo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Leganés B - Coria	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Don Benito - Coria	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Coria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Estepona - Coria	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Coria - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Montijo - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Montijo - Estepona	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Atlético Madrid B - Montijo	4:2 ✺
18.09.22	Montijo - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.22	Coria - Montijo	2:0
27.11.21	Montijo - Coria	1:0

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