Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.47	5.35
	1.68	3.47	5.35
	1.65	3.34	5.1
	1.75	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
54.2%

Draw
27.1%

Montijo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

23.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica Segoviana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gimnástica Segoviana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montijo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnástica Segoviana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gimnástica Segoviana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Badajoz - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
08.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Montijo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2
09.10.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	3:2

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