Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Coria		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.36	3.1	3.23
	2.36	2.65	3.23
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.22	3.13	3.25
	2.2	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.87)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
40.6%

Draw
30.3%

Real Murcia B
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Coria - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Yeboah D. (Own goal),
45', 2 - 0, Leon I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Carmona M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Coria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Real Murcia B - Coria	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.06.24	Coria - Azuaga	1:1 ET ✺
02.06.24	Azuaga - Coria	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Coria - Moralo	4:1 ✺
19.05.24	Moralo - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTWW
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Real Murcia B - Coria	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.06.24	Real Murcia B - Cieza	1:1 ET ✺
02.06.24	Cieza - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ET ✺
18.05.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Real Murcia B - Coria	1:1

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