Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.75	3.35	4.3
	1.76	3.19	4.2
	1.76	3.42	4.39	Watch
	1.72	3.38	4.53
	1.75	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)	3.32 ↑ (3.07)	4.32 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

Real Murcia B
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

32.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Yeboah D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Valdeolivas D. ⚽,
72', Perez H. 🟥,
84', 2 - 1, Cristo ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Lorca Deportiva have a series of guest games.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.02.25	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Lorca Deportiva - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cieza - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.25	Real Murcia B - Santomera	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Real Murcia B - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
29.09.24	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
26.05.24	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ET
18.05.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	0:1
24.02.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	1:2
08.10.23	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:3
12.03.23	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0
16.11.22	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	3:2

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