Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Real Murcia B		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.02	3.17	2.32
	3.08	3.21	2.22	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.25
	2.83	3.56	2.3
	2.95	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.31)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	2.24 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
30.7%

Draw
28.6%

Lorca Deportiva
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

26.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Talaveron D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Yeboah D. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Naranjo J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Ruiz P. R. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Armenteros A. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 2.

Murcia B is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lorca Deportiva has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Murcia B could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lorca Deportiva holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Murcia B has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:18 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Murcia B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lorca Deportiva	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
15	Real Murcia B	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lorca Deportiva - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 46.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.10.26	Real Murcia B - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Castellonense - Real Murcia B	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Peña Deportiva - Real Murcia B	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Real Murcia B - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	La Nucía - Real Murcia B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.10.26	Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	La Nucía - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Castellon B - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Intercity	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	2:1
29.09.24	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
26.05.24	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ET
18.05.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	0:1
24.02.24	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	1:2
08.10.23	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:3
12.03.23	Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0

Real Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva