Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.37	4.25	6.7
	1.37	4.5	8.44
	1.36	4.49	7.63	Watch
	1.32	4.55	8.2
	1.36	4.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)	4.41 ↑ (3.53)	7.66 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
67.3%

Draw
20.7%

Rayo Vallecano B
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.5%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coria's performance.

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+4%)

Coria - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Dawda ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Mba D. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Mba D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rayo Vallecano B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coria is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.01.26	Coria - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Fuenlabrada - Coria	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Coria - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Navalcarnero - Coria	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Coria - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTT
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.26	Tenerife B - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Socuéllamos - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.09.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Coria	2:1

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