Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, N Sports, SporTV, TV Brasil, TV Globo, UOL Play


	Corinthians		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.20	4.10
	1.73	3.40	4.35
	1.81	3.43	4.48
	1.88	3.39	4.13
	1.78	3.25	4.40
	1.71	3.40	4.36
	1.85	3.25	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)	3.33 ↓ (3.73)	4.26 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
51.1%

Draw
27.5%

São Paulo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Corinthians - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicole (G) 25. Aquino B. 33. Duda Mineira 27. Duda Sampaio (C) 10. Gabi Zanotti 23. Gi Fernandes 30. Jaqueline Ribeiro 22. Juliete 37. Tamires 5. Thais Ferreira 17. Vic Albuquerque	12. Carlinha (G) 7. Aline 23. Bia Menezes 2. Bruna Calderan 3. Carol Gil 19. Crivelari 11. Isa 5. Karla Alves 95. Robinha 8. Serrana 4. Tayla
Substitutes
8. Andressa Alves 11. Ariel 2. Barroso A. 20. Garcia P. 13. Ivana Fuso 9. Jhonson 12. Lele (G) 19. Leticia Monteiro 32. Rillary (G) 7. Robledo G. 31. Rodriguez D.	1. Anna Beatriz (G) 15. Barbosa C. 33. Calazans L. 6. Clara 9. Gadu 18. Kesia Sena 72. Mylena Carioca 16. Pereyra M. 28. Rafa Soares 22. Ravena 99. Vi Amaral 27. Vitorinha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gabi Zanotti ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Crivelari ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabi Zanotti ↓, Jhonson ↑,
46', Vic Albuquerque ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
57', Aquino B. ↓, Robledo G. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Isa ⚽,
73', Crivelari ↓, Vi Amaral ↑,
73', Aline ↓, Mylena Carioca ↑,
73', Duda Mineira ↓, Leticia Monteiro ↑,
85', Isa ↓, Kesia Sena ↑,
87', Juliete ↓, Andressa Alves ↑,
89', Carol Gil 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.

Corinthians arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

São Paulo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Corinthians carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Corinthians in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:22 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Corinthians against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.41%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Women
Brasileiro Women
21.09.26	Corinthians - Bahia	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Bahia - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Corinthians - Taubaté	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- São Paulo FC Women
Brasileiro Women
19.09.26	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	São Paulo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Ferroviária - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
11.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	1:2
04.12.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:1
22.11.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2
01.11.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:1
Copa do Brasil Women
24.09.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1
Brasileiro Women
31.08.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:2

Corinthians - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide