Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 2

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)


	Coritiba		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	6.25
	1.53	3.75	6.5
	1.54	3.89	7.24
	1.54	3.89	7.24
	1.5	3.8	6.5
	1.54	3.88	6.33
	1.56	3.75	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	6.55 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
61.1%

Draw
24.6%

Brusque
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Coritiba - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: Coritiba will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 5. Mauricio Antonio (C) 26. Bruno Melo 83. Jamerson 23. Bernardo 40. Everton Morelli 17. Yago Ferreira 98. Lucas Ronier 22. Figueiredo 9. Leandro Damiao	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 99. Mateus Pivo 4. Wallace (C) 3. Ianson 66. Alex Ruan 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 7. Dionisio 94. Paulinho Moccelin 17. Guilherme Queiroz 10. Dentinho
Substitutes
7. Andrey 67. Benassi (G) 21. Brandao 33. David 2. Diogo Batista 19. Gomez S. 13. Guilherme Vargas 18. Matheus Bianqui 10. Matheus Frizzo 6. Rodrigo Gelado 57. Wesley Pomba	70. Anderson Rosa 22. Cristovam 11. Diego Tavares 35. Georgemy (G) 8. Jhemerson 18. Keke 12. Marcelo Nunes 6. Matheus Salustiano 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 9. Olavio 80. Osman
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Guilherme Queiroz 🟨,
45+3', Bernardo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yago Ferreira ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
55', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
56', Mateus Pivo ↓, Cristovam ↑,
63', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
64', Marcos Serrato ↓, Osman ↑,
67', Figueiredo ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
67', Bernardo ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
72', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Olavio ↑,
72', Dionisio ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
77', Everton Morelli ↓, Brandao ↑,
79', Rodolfo Potiguar 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Brandao ⚽, Leandro Damiao (A),
90', Dentinho 🟨,
90+2', Leandro Damiao 🟨,
90+5', Bruno Melo 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Coritiba is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.24	Ponte Preta - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.03.24	Coritiba - Maringá	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Coritiba - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cianorte - Coritiba	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLWW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.04.24	Criciúma - Brusque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Brusque - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Avaí - Brusque	2:2 ✺
20.03.24	Brusque - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.09.21	Coritiba - Brusque	4:0
03.08.21	Brusque - Coritiba	0:0

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