Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 1

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Ferreira E. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.3	3.05	2.46
	3.3	3.04	2.46
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.16	3.1	2.35
	3.15	3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.45)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	2.37 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
29.8%

Draw
30.7%

Coritiba
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ponte Preta - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rocha (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 13. Joilson 6. Sergio Raphael 33. Risso G. 5. Dudu Vieira 8. Emerson Santos 21. Ramon 10. Elvis (C) 77. Matheus Regis 35. Gabriel Novaes	72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 5. Mauricio Antonio (C) 26. Bruno Melo 83. Jamerson 33. David 36. Vini Paulista 40. Everton Morelli 10. Matheus Frizzo 22. Figueiredo 9. Leandro Damiao
Substitutes
15. Castro 7. Dodo 3. Edson 29. Everton Brito 23. Haquin L. 11. Iago Dias 17. Kaue 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 25. Lucas Buchecha 44. Nilson Junior 98. Venicius 31. Ze Mario	7. Andrey 67. Benassi (G) 23. Bernardo 21. Brandao 2. Diogo Batista 13. Guilherme Vargas 82. Jean Gabriel 98. Lucas Ronier 4. Marcelo Benevenuto 18. Matheus Bianqui 6. Rodrigo Gelado 57. Wesley Pomba
Coaches
Joao Brigatti	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Bruno Melo 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Joilson ⚽,
18', Ramon 🟨,
44', Matheus Regis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', David ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
53', Sergio Raphael ↓, Edson ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Joilson (Own goal),
61', Natanael 🟨,
71', Luiz Felipe ↓, Lucas Buchecha ↑,
78', Gabriel Novaes 🟨,
80', Gabriel Novaes ↓, Iago Dias ↑,
80', Figueiredo ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
81', Leandro Damiao ↓, Brandao ↑,
89', Everton Morelli ↓, Bernardo ↑,
90+3', Lucas Ronier 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 3.

Recent matches Coritiba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coritiba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.24	Palmeiras - Ponte Preta	5:1 ✺
10.03.24	Santo André - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTWT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.03.24	Coritiba - Maringá	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Maringá - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Coritiba - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cianorte - Coritiba	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.11.21	Ponte Preta - Coritiba	3:2
17.08.21	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	2:0
31.08.19	Ponte Preta - Coritiba	1:0
29.04.19	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	2:0
13.11.18	Ponte Preta - Coritiba	2:0
28.07.18	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
12.11.17	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	1:1

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