Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - ROUND 11

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Arnaldo Busatto (Cascavel)


	FC Cascavel		Foz do Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.35	3.8	7.5
	1.35	4.2	8.3
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.36	4.45	7.8
	1.37	4.3	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.75)	7.64 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
66.1%

Draw
22.1%

Foz do Iguaçu
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

15.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Cascavel's performance.

Foz do Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Cascavel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foz do Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foz do Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Cascavel - Foz do Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

FC Cascavel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match FC Cascavel is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Cascavel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
16.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aruko Sports - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Maringá - FC Cascavel	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Foz do Iguaçu FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Azuriz - Foz do Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Rio Branco PR - Foz do Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Foz do Iguaçu - São-Joseense	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.19	FC Cascavel - Foz do Iguaçu	2:0
04.03.18	Foz do Iguaçu - FC Cascavel	2:0
05.02.17	Foz do Iguaçu - FC Cascavel	0:1

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