Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Cornellà		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.55
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.85	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.96	2.9	2.67
	2.96	2.9	2.67
	2.84	2.86	2.63
	2.8	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.5)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	2.6 (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
32.3%

Draw
32.3%

Lugo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cornellà - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Meykher Y. (G) 14. Kike Lopez 4. Hernandez A. 21. Rios E. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M. 20. Verges E. 17. Canario 18. Caballero A. 6. Toni Arranz 23. Tenas M. 22. Gonpi A.	13. Tabuaco G. (G) 12. Louis-Jean J. 4. Perez G. 6. Castrin A. 3. Vazquez J. 18. Jozabed 20. Ojeda T. 9. Quintana Nacho 23. Antonetti L. 11. Antonin 7. Ledesma L.
Substitutes
8. Cherradi A. 19. Garrido C. 28. Koffi 24. Li H. (G) 27. Luisao 7. Marcos Gorriti 15. Mas J. 9. Niang M. 46. Soma P.	21. Abdulai S. 8. Aguza S. 10. Aranda A. 1. Diaz L. (G) 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 22. Lopez A. 2. Martinez C. 15. Narro V. 32. Tojo D. 17. Torrado C.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

Cornellà is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cornellà could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cornellà - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Cornellà - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Arenteiro - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Cornellà - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Lugo - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Lugo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.12.23	Sestao - Lugo	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Lugo - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Sabadell - Lugo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWLW

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