The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugo 61.2%
Draw 23.8%
Arenteiro 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
19.9%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.9%
18.6%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.
Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Lugo - Arenteiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 2. Rodriguez Y. 27. Buide M. 16. Jose Amo 26. Balcedo T. 17. Caballo D. 10. Alba T. 18. Costa G. 8. Balboa A. 23. Junior L. 15. Reniero N.
13. Garcia D. (C) 11. Cuellar J. 4. Falcon E. 5. Perez G. 16. Lasure D. 10. Chuca 21. Lopez A. 8. Gonzalez D. 17. Molina A. 7. Ferreiro D. 9. Ramon N.
Substitutes
31. Alcalde A. 9. Celorio N. 7. Gonzalez J. 20. Lopez I. 33. Munoz M. 12. Perera A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 14. Presa K. 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O. 4. Trigueros P. 19. Unzueta I.
1. Alvin (G) 23. Kandoussi B. 3. Lohr L. 2. Moya P. 14. Safrai 6. Val B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Junior L. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
49', Costa G. 🟨,
50', Lasure D. 🟨,
52', Balboa A. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
52', Costa G. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
58', Chuca ↓, Val B. ↑,
60', Reniero N. 🟨,
64', Alba T. 🟨,
67', Alba T. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
74', Celorio N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
79', Ramon N. ↓, Safrai ↑,
79', Cuellar J. ↓, Kandoussi B. ↑,
83', Lopez A. ↓, Lohr L. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Arenteiro is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2.
Lugo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arenteiro is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Lugo is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Spain
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Martinez M. (C) 
Costa G. 
Balboa A. 
Junior L. 
Reniero N. 
Cuellar J. 
Teofilovic O. 
Safrai 
