Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday


	Cornellà		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.38
	2.95	2.8	2.3
	2.9	2.9	2.4
	3	2.8	2.38
	3.21	2.87	2.47
	3.1	2.75	2.4
	3.06	2.95	2.34
	3.05	2.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.55)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)	2.38 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cornellà
29.9%

Draw
32.1%

Real Murcia
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cornellà's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cornellà, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	11.8%	58.8%

Cornellà - Real Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cornellà will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Murcia will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murcia: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Cornellà is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murcia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Cornellà - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	Eldense - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Cornellà - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Barcelona B - Cornellà	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLLT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Castellón - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Real Murcia - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Atlético Paso - Real Murcia	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	La Nucía - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLT

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