Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Castellón		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.41	4.1	6
	1.44	4.2	7	Watch
	1.5	4.4	6.87
	1.49	4.12	6.97
	1.4	3.8	6
	1.44	4.15	6.75
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.15 ↑ (3.8)	6.5 ↓ (6.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
63.7%

Draw
22.2%

Real Murcia
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

22.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Castellón - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 2. Granero B. 16. Sanchez M. 7. Moyita S. 18. Indias I. 19. Villahermosa D. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Medunjanin H. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Garcia M. (G) 26. Lopez A. 16. Rofino V. G. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Baro M. 14. Leon P. 23. Alonso I. 8. Larrea P. 33. Carmona M. 10. Guarrotxena I. 11. Carrillo J.
Substitutes
3. Anton J. 14. Gil O. 8. Gracia J. 27. Minana S. 29. Punzano I. 6. Rodriguez C. 13. Salvato A. (G) 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 33. Vertrouwd J.	13. Piedra I. (G) 21. Pina Tomas 9. Rodri 18. Rojas C. 25. Rubio A. 2. Ruiz J. 20. Santos S. 17. Vega D. 5. Zalaya A.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Castellón - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	4:1 ✺
26.11.23	Ibiza - Castellón	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	Real Murcia - Antequera	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Real Murcia - Málaga	1:4 ✺
18.11.23	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	Real Murcia - Castellón	1:1
26.11.22	Castellón - Real Murcia	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
20.11.19	Castellón - Real Murcia	0:3 ET

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