Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)

Referee: Villa R. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Correcaminos UAT		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.18	3.35	2.90	Watch
	2.29	3.64	2.95
	2.32	3.54	2.86	Watch
	2.08	3.60	3.20
	2.12	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.10	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.45 ↓ (3.63)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
42.6%

Draw
26.8%

Alacranes de Durango
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Resendez E. (G) 2. Ortega W. 13. Moreno G. (C) 3. Perez O. 19. Catalan A. 7. Islas O. 8. Torres D. 10. Guzman W. 33. Mina D. 29. Mendoza B. 32. Sandoval T.	33. Pelaez A. (G) 21. Oteo D. 5. Cantu E. 4. Munoz J. 13. Ontiveros A. 35. Flores S. 16. Dominguez R. 11. Morales L. 30. Escoboza A. (C) 28. Torres J. 27. Angulo J.
Substitutes
101. Aguilar A. 27. Cantu J. 20. Estopier J. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 5. Monarrez A. 1. Perez E. (G) 86. Rubli G. 14. Sosa C. 11. Uribe Y. 17. Zapata J.	20. Castillo J. 2. Garcia A. 7. Gutierrez L. 14. Lorona L. 8. Montano T. 26. Munoz B. 1. Munoz J. (G) 23. Siqueiros C. 19. Valenzuela A. 6. Vega Hernandez C.
Coaches
Pereyra G.	Real H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Flores S. 🟨,
38', Sandoval T. 🟨,
45+1', Ortega W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Moreno G. 🟥,
56', Mina D. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
69', Ortega W. 🟨,
75', Mendoza B. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
79', Oteo D. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
79', Morales L. ↓, Vega Hernandez C. ↑,
84', Dominguez R. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
87', Islas O. ↓, Uribe Y. ↑,
87', Sandoval T. ↓, Gomez Del Rosal N. ↑,
89', Torres J. ↓, Siqueiros C. ↑,
90', Angulo J. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Correcaminos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alacranes de Durango's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Correcaminos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Correcaminos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Correcaminos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alacranes de Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17
9	Correcaminos	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.08.26	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	2:3 ✺
06.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
31.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLWWT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cancún - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Piratas de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT	1:0
12.07.22	Correcaminos UAT - Alacranes de Durango	5:3

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