Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.40
	2.02	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.10	3.40	3.68
	1.97	3.41	3.79	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.55
	1.95	3.50	3.70	Watch
	1.99	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.18)	3.32 ↑ (3.17)	3.57 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
46.2%

Draw
27.9%

Leones Negros UdeG
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leones Negros UdeG (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pelaez A. (G) 5. Cantu E. 13. Ontiveros A. 4. Munoz J. 30. Escoboza A. (C) 35. Flores S. 16. Dominguez R. 6. Vega Hernandez C. 28. Torres J. 10. Gonzalez J. 27. Angulo J.	1. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 161. Escalante J. 21. Gonzalez O. 24. Aguayo J. 5. Torres U. 10. Brigido J. 15. Carreon A. 6. Marchand J. (C) 34. Hernandez S. A. 9. Razo L. 20. Gil O.
Substitutes
2. Garcia A. 7. Gutierrez L. 14. Lorona L. 8. Montano T. 11. Morales L. 26. Munoz B. 1. Munoz J. (G) 21. Oteo D. 17. Reyes Olguin J. I. 19. Valenzuela A.	19. Loera K. 12. Martin S. (G) 27. Meza U. 154. Morales F. 167. Nuno M. 11. Perez J. 33. Sepulveda L. 31. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Real H.	Sosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Gonzalez J. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Hernandez S. A. ⚽, Razo L. (A),
32', Escalante J. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Razo L. ⚽, Gil O. (A),
45+6', Torres U. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 2, Angulo J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Razo L. ↓, Loera K. ↑,
53', Dominguez R. 🟨,
58', Vega Hernandez C. ↓, Reyes Olguin J. I. ↑,
58', Dominguez R. ↓, Oteo D. ↑,
70', Gil O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
70', Brigido J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
70', Escoboza A. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
72', Ontiveros A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
84', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Sepulveda L. ↑,
89', Marchand J. ↓, Nuno M. ↑,
90+4', Perez J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Alacranes de Durango could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alacranes de Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23
8	Alacranes de Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.26	Cancún - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Piratas de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.05.26	Alacranes de Durango - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWT
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	4:0 ✺
06.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Alacranes de Durango	1:0
17.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0

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