Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Cortes		Egüés

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.98	2.78
	2.51	3.01	2.8
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.44	2.93	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
36.7%

Draw
30.9%

Egüés
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Egüés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Cortes - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 3.

Cortes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Egüés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Valle Egues	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.02.26	Huarte - Cortes	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aoiz - Cortes	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cortes - Oberena	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Izarra - Cortes	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- CD Egüés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.02.26	Egüés - Oberena	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Izarra - Egüés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Egüés - Bidezarra	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Egüés - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.10.25	Egüés - Cortes	0:2
01.02.25	Cortes - Egüés	1:0
25.03.23	Egüés - Cortes	3:0
26.11.22	Cortes - Egüés	1:0
26.02.22	Cortes - Egüés	1:2
06.12.18	Egüés - Cortes	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.11.17	Egüés - Cortes	3:1

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