Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Izarra		Cortes

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.45	4.45
	1.61	3.69	5.16
	1.67	3.72	4.68	Watch
	1.56	3.6	5.48
	1.6	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	3.62 ↑ (3.51)	4.95 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
56.3%

Draw
25.2%

Cortes
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

29%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Cortes aligns with the current prediction.

Izarra - Cortes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Izarra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cortes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Izarra is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Izarra	5	5	0	0	18:2	16	15
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.01.26	Oberena - Izarra	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Izarra - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bidezarra - Izarra	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Pamplona - Izarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTTWL
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.01.26	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Artajonés - Cortes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWW

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