Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo do Vao (Vigo)


	Coruxo		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.28
	2.86	2.84	2.66
	2.84	2.93	2.54	Watch
	3.02	3.06	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
31.6%

Draw
30.8%

Atlético Baleares
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

32.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

33.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Coruxo - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Bover R. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Bover R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, Keita M. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Coruxo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baleares is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Baleares may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baleares might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Coruxo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.05.26	Coruxo - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Lealtad - Coruxo	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.26	Espanyol B - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Baleares - Terrassa	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Porreres - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Baleares - Andratx	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Atlético Baleares	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.20	Coruxo - Atlético Baleares	1:1
29.09.19	Atlético Baleares - Coruxo	2:0

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