Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Coruxo		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.25
	1.94	3.05	4.32
	1.8	3.19	4.56	Watch
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.93	3.23	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	4.36 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
49.6%

Draw
29.4%

Marino de Luanco
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

29.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coruxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Coruxo - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Cidre X. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 2, Fernandez O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Coruxo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coruxo is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Coruxo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Coruxo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Coruxo FC	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sámano - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Coruxo - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Real Ávila - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Marino de Luanco - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2
13.04.25	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	1:1
01.12.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:0
17.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	0:1
05.11.23	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	2:1
05.03.23	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:0
15.10.22	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	2:2

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