Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.75
	1.92	3.25	3.55
	2.17	2.95	3.25
	2.23	2.82	3.81
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	2.06	3.05	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)	3 ↓ (3.2)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
44.3%

Draw
30.3%

Arenteiro
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arenteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Navalcarnero - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Navalcarnero is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arenteiro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arenteiro have a series of home games.

Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.12.21	Bergantiños - Navalcarnero	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Navalcarnero - Compostela	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Pontevedra - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWWT
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Arenteiro - Valencia	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Arenteiro - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Coruxo - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Arenteiro - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.11.21	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWT

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