Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Coruxo		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.7
	1.94	3.15	3.75
	2.19	3.36	3	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	1.98	3.13	3.88
	1.94	3.15	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.53 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
44.8%

Draw
29.3%

Real Avilés
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Coruxo - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Farina N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Andriu ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Santamaria A. (Pen),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coruxo won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Coruxo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Coruxo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Coruxo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Coruxo - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Rayo Cantabria - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Coruxo - Escobedo	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Coruxo - Langreo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Real Avilés - Numancia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.09.24	Real Avilés - Coruxo	2:0
03.03.24	Real Avilés - Coruxo	4:0
22.10.23	Coruxo - Real Avilés	1:1
29.01.23	Coruxo - Real Avilés	0:2
11.09.22	Real Avilés - Coruxo	0:1
13.02.22	Real Avilés - Coruxo	2:3
25.09.21	Coruxo - Real Avilés	0:0

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