Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Sarriana		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.45
	2.7	3.16	2.6
	2.66	3.12	2.56	Watch
	2.62	3.04	2.5
	2.66	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.43)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	2.53 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
34.6%

Draw
29.3%

Valladolid B
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sarriana - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Ivorra I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Keko ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Millan A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, Carvajal A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Sarriana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valladolid B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarriana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sarriana - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Lealtad - Sarriana	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.01.26	Valladolid B - UD Ourense	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Salamanca - Valladolid B	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Valladolid B - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Langreo - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Valladolid B - Sarriana	3:0

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