Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Coruxo		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.55	5.35
	1.71	3.48	4.64	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.64
	1.77	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	5.03 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
55.3%

Draw
26.5%

Sámano
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Coruxo - Sámano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Coruxo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coruxo (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Coruxo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Anon D. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Alonso C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, Gonzalez J. D. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Gonzalez J. D. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Coruxo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sámano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coruxo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coruxo is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Coruxo - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Salamanca - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Coruxo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarriana - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLLW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.11.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sámano - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Real Ávila - Sámano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL

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