Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.55	5.3
	1.68	3.44	5.39
	1.55	3.75	5.65	Watch
	1.62	3.38	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	5.43 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
57.2%

Draw
25.9%

Coruxo
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

25.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Numancia - Coruxo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 1 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Sola X. ⚽,
85', Bernardez S. 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Numancia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coruxo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Numancia is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Numancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Numancia - Valladolid B	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWWW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Coruxo - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Salamanca - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Coruxo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarriana - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Coruxo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.25	Numancia - Coruxo	1:0
07.09.24	Coruxo - Numancia	1:2

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