Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Sarriana		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.7	3.07	2.66
	2.72	2.97	2.61
	2.44	2.98	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	2.66 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
35.1%

Draw
30.4%

Coruxo
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Sarriana - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Sola X. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Villaverde H. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Gandarillas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Sarriana have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coruxo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coruxo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Coruxo - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Salamanca - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sámano - Sarriana	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarriana - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Coruxo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Coruxo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL

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