Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Coruxo		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.04	2.97	3.96
	2.24	3.15	3.04	Watch
	2.18	3.02	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.43 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
42.9%

Draw
30.3%

UD Ourense
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Coruxo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Coruxo - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gamarra V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Coruxo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Sarriana - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Coruxo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Coruxo - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Coruxo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTW
- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.25	UD Ourense - Langreo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Salamanca - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTLL

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