The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cosmos 68%
Draw 20.5%
Cailungo 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
23.1%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
21.5%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Cosmos - Cailungo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hamati L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Bufi G. ⚽, Gjoni A. (A),
63', Iuzzolino M. 🟥,
64', 2 - 1, Lisi D. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 3.
Cosmos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cailungo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Cosmos is the obvious favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:8. (average 3.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 4:1.2).
San-marino
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