Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Cailungo		La Fiorita

	1	X	2
	16.5	5.7	1.15
	13.89	7.12	1.12
	16.38	6.58	1.14	Watch
	19	6	1.14
	19	6.65	1.1
	19	6	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.3 ↑ (11)	6.34 ↑ (5.4)	1.13 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cailungo
5.2%

Draw
14.3%

La Fiorita
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.2%

16.8%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.

Cailungo - La Fiorita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Barretta A. ⚽, Gasperoni M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Olcese E. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 0 - 3, Barretta A. ⚽, Cicarelli D. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, La Fiorita is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:29. (average 0.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Cailungo - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Faetano - Cailungo	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Cailungo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Murata - Cailungo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTLW
- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	La Fiorita - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tre Penne - La Fiorita	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Murata - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	La Fiorita - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	La Fiorita - Cailungo	3:0
22.01.25	Cailungo - La Fiorita	0:3
13.09.24	La Fiorita - Cailungo	4:2
13.01.24	La Fiorita - Cailungo	7:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
25.10.23	Cailungo - La Fiorita	0:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
04.09.22	La Fiorita - Cailungo	2:0
06.03.22	Cailungo - La Fiorita	0:2

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