Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.15	4.85
	1.72	3.18	4.68
	1.97	3.01	4.25	Watch
	1.78	3.41	4.65
	1.76	3.2	4.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	4.6 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
51.3%

Draw
28.7%

Bartolomé Mitre
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

29.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Costa Brava - Bartolomé Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 8. Alles A. 3. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 5. Lara M. 4. Montero B. 11. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.	1. Bachke G. (G) 4. Barrientos M. 5. Espindola M. 8. Esquivel L. 2. Medeiro E. 3. Medina M. 7. Melgarejo G. 9. Mercado E. 10. Morales L. 6. Rodriguez R. 11. Valsangiacomo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Costa Brava have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Costa Brava is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Costa Brava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Costa Brava - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLT
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Bartolomé Mitre - El Linqueño	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Ben Hur	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Costa Brava	1:1

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