Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Leoncio Benitez (Corrientes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Unidos		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.38	2.82	3
	2.33	2.74	3.14
	2.51	2.72	3.29	Watch
	2.38	2.75	3
	2.36	2.78	3.15
	2.55	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.55)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Unidos
37.4%

Draw
32.7%

Bartolomé Mitre
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

33.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Penaloza J. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Mendoza F. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Mendoza L. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Boca Unidos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Boca Unidos - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Boca Unidos - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTW
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Juventud Antoniana - Bartolomé Mitre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:0
30.08.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0
08.06.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	1:2
06.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:1

Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide