Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Costa-rica	Canal 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Nicaragua	NicaSports
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Costa Rica		Nicaragua

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.5	19
	1.08	8.8	25	Watch
	1.11	9.55	26.1
	1.13	7.52	18.57	Watch
	1.14	9.53	20	Watch
	1.16	6.6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.22)	8.42 ↑ (5.5)	20.61 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Rica
84.2%

Draw
11.2%

Nicaragua
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

16.6%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Costa Rica's performance.

Nicaragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Costa Rica - Nicaragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Costa Rica will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nicaragua will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Costa Rica: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Costa Rica will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) UNAM Pumas 2. Murillo A. Herediano 4. Vargas J. Millonarios 9. Ugalde M. Spartak Moscow 19. Waston K. Saprissa 11. Vargas K. Herediano 12. Martinez A. New York City 8. Mora J. Saprissa 20. Quiros H. Herediano 10. Alcocer J. Westerlo 15. Calvo F. Al Ettifaq FC	1. Rodriguez M. (G) SJK 2. Quijano J. Esteli 5. Cano J. Diriangen 6. Gomez E. UMECIT 21. Reyes C. Liberia 11. Barrera J. (C) Managua FC 13. Arauz A. Sporting San Jose 14. Coronel J. Diriangen 18. Hernandez B. Esteli 4. Nino H. Esteli 16. Arteaga J. Diriangen
Substitutes
23. Alvarado E. (G) Saprissa 16. Bran Flores A. J. Alajuelense 5. Cascante J. Austin FC 13. Cruz A. Herediano 18. Lezcano A. (G) San Carlos 17. Madrigal W. Saprissa 3. Mitchell J. Sturm Graz 22. Mora C. Univ. Craiova 14. Perez C. Alajuelense 7. Rojas A. New York Red Bulls 6. Villalobos Alfaro G. Alajuelense 21. Zamora A. Academico Viseu	3. Acevedo O. Esteli 10. Bonilla B. Esteli 15. Delgado J. Managua FC 9. Garcia J. Matagalpa 12. Lopez A. (G) Managua FC 17. Lopez M. Managua FC 19. Martinez E. J. Esteli 23. Mayorga B. (G) UNAN-Managua 8. Moncada J. Diriangen 7. Smith A. FK Panevezys 20. Talavera W. Esteli 22. Velásquez A. UNAN-Managua
Coaches
Herrera M.	Figueroa M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Waston K. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Ugalde M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Arteaga J. ⚽, Hernandez B. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Waston K. (A),
32', Murillo A. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
45', Reyes C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Reyes C. ↓, Acevedo O. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽,
58', Gomez E. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
62', Martinez A. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
65', Arauz A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
65', Arteaga J. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
73', Barrera J. ↓, Moncada J. ↑,
73', Vargas K. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
74', Ugalde M. ↓, Madrigal W. ↑,
76', Acevedo O. 🟨,
79', Quiros H. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Calvo F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Costa Rica won 3.

In this match, Costa Rica is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Costa Rica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Costa Rica
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Honduras - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
09.09.25	Costa Rica - Haiti	3:3 ✺
05.09.25	Nicaragua - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
Gold Cup
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
22.06.25	Mexico - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTLT
- Nicaragua
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Nicaragua - Haiti	0:3 ✺
09.09.25	Honduras - Nicaragua	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Nicaragua - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
10.06.25	Panama - Nicaragua	3:0 ✺
06.06.25	Nicaragua - Guyana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Nicaragua - Costa Rica	1:1
Gold Cup
16.06.19	Costa Rica - Nicaragua	4:0
Central American Cup
17.01.17	Costa Rica - Nicaragua	0:0
Friendly
15.12.15	Costa Rica - Nicaragua	1:0
Central American Cup
03.09.14	Costa Rica - Nicaragua	3:0
20.01.13	Costa Rica - Nicaragua	2:0

Costa Rica - Nicaragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide