Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Covadonga		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.37
	2.9	3	2.5
	3.06	2.87	2.57
	3.06	2.76	2.57
	2.8	2.88	2.38
	2.85	2.89	2.47
	2.85	2.9	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.32)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.48 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Covadonga
31.5%

Draw
31.6%

Marino de Luanco
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino de Luanco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Covadonga is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covadonga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Covadonga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Covadonga - Real Avilés	0:3 ✺
02.12.23	Real Oviedo B - Covadonga	5:0 ✺
26.11.23	Covadonga - Pontevedra	3:1 ✺
18.11.23	Coruxo - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TLLWL
- Marino de Luanco
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.23	Marino de Luanco - Arandina	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Zamora - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1
05.12.20	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.09.18	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1
19.11.17	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	0:0

Upcoming Matches