Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Marino de Luanco		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.2	3.15	3.34
	2.2	3.09	3.34
	2.09	3	3.44
	2.08	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.57)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	3.39 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
43.5%

Draw
29.5%

Arandina
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arandina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arandina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marino de Luanco - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Marino de Luanco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arandina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marino de Luanco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marino de Luanco will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Zamora - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Real Oviedo B - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTTL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Arandina - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Arandina - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Real Avilés - Arandina	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Arandina - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWLTL

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